Category Archives: Statistics

The Uncertain Science of Certainty | 16th July 2025

How are scientific opinions formed? How do we converge on the truth? And once we get there, how should we try to convince others?

Microscope, books, magnifying glass: The search for proof
Proof?

On Wednesday 16th July, PubSci is delighted to welcome Professor Adam Kucharski – epidemiologist, statistician, and bestselling author of The Rules of Contagion – to talk about the crucial ideas behind his new book, Proof: The Uncertain Science of Certainty. Proof explores methods we can use to get closer to what’s really happening, and what happens when these methods fail.

With very few tickets remaining, book your place now, or read on to learn more.

A magnifying glass with inspecting some words

Throughout history, scientific progress has relied on establishing fact from fiction. For millennia, the reasoning went: achieve logical perfection and be rewarded with ultimate, universal truth.
But demonstrating that a new medical treatment works, persuading a jury of someone’s guilt, or deciding whether to trust a self-driving car requires us to weigh up noisy, uncertain evidence.

So, is there more to proof than axioms, theories and scientific laws? Now, more than ever, we need to understand what “Gold Standard Science” really means – and what it doesn’t. Come to PubSci on Wednesday 16th July to explore the art and science of certainty with Adam Kucharski, and discover what links wine and university exams, royalty and Guinness, cricket and robot racing.

Ranging across science, politics, philosophy and economics to explore how truth emerges and why it sometimes falters, Proof is described by New Scientist as “a life raft in a sea of fake news and misinformation.” Don’t miss this unique opportunity to hear bestselling author and award-winning science communicator, Prof Adam Kucharski at PubSci.

Copies of Proof will be on sale at the event.

Book cover for PROOF - The Uncertain science of Certainty

Book your place now, or read on to read about this month’s speaker. 

• • •

PubSci talks are pay-what-you-can – you can make a contribution when booking on Eventbrite or as a cash contribution on the night. Join us for another round of Sipping, Supping Science… in the pub.

• • •

About the speaker

A man with a short beard wearing a shirt with a buttoned collar
Prof Adam Kucharski

Adam Kucharski is Professor of Infectious Disease Epidemiology at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, focusing on making better use of data and analytics for epidemic preparedness and response. This includes large-scale studies of social behaviour and immunity.

A mathematician by training, his work on global outbreaks includes Ebola, Zika and COVID-19, and he has produced real-time analysis for governments and health agencies around the world.

Professor Kucharski has published over 130 scientific papers, including a 2016 piece for Nature on the epidemiology of fake news which has been cited almost 300 times in scientific literature. He is a TED senior fellow, and winner of the 2016 Rosalind Franklin Award Lecture and the 2012 Wellcome Trust Science Writing Prize.

His popular science writing has appeared in Wired, Financial Times, New Scientist, Scientific American, The Times and The Observer. His 2020 book,The Rules of Contagion – written just before the global COVID pandemic hit – was a Times, Guardian and FT Science Book of the Year, and his 2016 Royal Institution talk on The Science of Luck has been viewed nearly 4 million times.

Proof: The Uncertain Science of Certainty was published by Profile Books in March 2025.

PubSci is delighted to welcome Adam as the latest speaker in our 2025 talks programme.

10 international book covers for The Rules of Contagion
International editions of ‘The Rules of Contagion

• • •

Keep Up With Future Events

To make sure you don’t miss out on future events, subscribe to our Google Calendar to be the first to know when new talks are scheduled, and follow PubSci’s events on Eventbrite to be notified when tickets are available. You can also sign up to our own mailing list on any page on this site.

Posted by Richard Marshall, PubSci organiser and host.

PubSci: Sipping • Supping • Science

• • •

About PubSci talks

PubSci is organised and hosted by science communicator, Richard Marshall, assisted by Mike LucibellaEvents are held upstairs at the Old King’s Head, near London Bridge tube. No specialist knowledge is required, just curiosity. Doors open at 6.30pm for a 7pm start. Talks run for ~45 minutes and are followed by a Q&A session. The Old King’s Head has a happy hour before 7pm, and the kitchen serves excellent pub grub.

• • •

Support PubSci

There is no charge for attending PubSci talks, but we have a cash whip-round to cover expenses on the night – consider it “Pay What You Can Afford”. As few of us carry cash these days, you can make a donation when registering for ticketed events with Eventbrite. Please help us continue putting on events. PubSci has no other source of funding.

The evolution of humans from sitting in a chair to talking about science in a pub (after Darwin)

We aim to keep PubSci accessible for all, although it is unsuitable for under 18s as we meet in the function room of  a pub. Regrettably, there is no wheelchair access. 

You can find all our links on our LinkTree.

• • •

Text reading "Proof, the art and science of uncertainty"
Is certainty as much Art as Science?

We generally hold events on the third Wednesday of the month, upstairs at the Old King’s Head near London Bridge Underground (Borough High Street east side exit). Join us every month apart from December for a regular dose of Sipping, Supping & Science.

Address:

The Old King’s Head (upstairs room)
King’s Head Yard
45-49 Borough High Street
London SE1 1NA

Sold Out : “Jinx!” – The Science of Freaky Coincidences with Prof. Chris French | 17th July

Why do we say “Jinx!” when two people say the same thing at the same time? Are coincidences as unlikely as we think? And why do some coincidences feel so spooky

On Wednesday 17th July PubSci is delighted to welcome back Chris French of the Anomalistic Psychology Unit at Goldsmiths, University of London, for a talk that is now fully booked out.

meaning-of-coincidences-dice-on

We’ve all had that uncanny feeling when things happen that seem too unlikely, too meaningful, too important to be attributed simply to random chance. Numerous well documented coincidences seem so unlikely that something more than blind probability appears to be at work. Paranormal explanations are often invoked for apparently precognitive dreams. So what’s really going on?

Conspiracy theorists and charlatans can play on our ignorance of causality, probability, and even what randomness really looks like, in order to make us think certain events have meaningful, perhaps sinister, connections. Some people make a career out of it. Even innocent coincidences can feel special to us. But why is this? And is it reasonable for sceptics to explain away such things as nothing more than “mere coincidences”?

Chris French is an expert in all things weird and freaky – how we experience them, why we believe in them and what’s really going on when we experience the uncanny. He’s already delighted PubSci with two talks in previous years, and this month he turns his attention to coincidences. At July’s PubSci, the author of The Science of Weird Shit explores the science and psychology of those freaky moments when things seem too unlikely to be “Just a coincidence”.

• • •

Book CoverI hope you reserved your place early, because the event is fully booked and there’s a long waiting list. For those lucky enough to be attending, Chris will have copies of his new book for sale: The Science of Weird Shit – Why Our Minds Conjure the Paranormal.

To make sure you don’t miss out on future events, subscribe to our Google Calendar to be the first to know when new talks are scheduled and follow PubSci on Eventbrite to be notified when tickets are available. You can also sign up to our own mailing list on any page on this site.

Learn more about Chris in “About the Speaker” below.

___

Join us upstairs at the Old King’s Head, near London Bridge tube. Doors open at 6.30pm for a 7pm start. Talks run for ~45 minutes and are followed by a Q&A session. The Old King’s Head has a happy hour before 7pm, and the kitchen serves excellent pub grub.

PubSci is a pay-what-you-can event – please consider making a donation with your reservation or a cash contribution on the night to help us cover our running costs.

We use Eventbrite to manage numbers every month. Subscribe now to be notified of forthcoming talks.

• • •

About the speaker

Chris French 2024Chris French is Emeritus Professor and Head of the Anomalistic Psychology Research Unit in the Psychology Department at Goldsmiths,University of London. He is a Fellow of the British Psychological Society and of the Committee for Skeptical Inquiry and a Patron of UK Humanists.

He has published well over 150 articles and chapters covering a wide range of topics. His main current area of research is the psychology of paranormal beliefs and anomalous experiences.

Chris frequently appears on radio and television casting a sceptical eye over paranormal claims as well as writing for the Guardian and the Skeptic magazine.

His academic reference book Anomalistic Psychology: Exploring Paranormal Belief and Experience was published with Anna Stone, and his latest book The Science of Weird Shit: Why Our Minds Conjure the Paranormal was published by MIT press earlier this year.

PubSci is delighted to welcome Chris to the latest in our series of monthly talks.

Coincidence or Aliens?

___

Support PubSci

There is no charge for attending PubSci talks, but we have a traditional whip-round to cover expenses – consider it a “Pay What You Can” event. Very few of us carry cash these days, so you can contribute digitally through our TipJar or make a donation when registering for ticketed events with Eventbrite. Please help PubSci continue putting on events. PubSci has no other source of funding.

We aim to keep PubSci accessible for all, although it is unsuitable for under 18s as we meet in the function room of  a pub. Regrettably, there is no wheelchair access. 

Check out the Future Events page where you can also subscribe to our Google Calendar so PubSci events automatically appear in your own Calendar.  You can find all our links on our LinkTree.

• • •

We used to meet on the first Wednesday of the month but PubSci is now on the third Wednesday. Join us upstairs at the Old King’s Head near London Bridge Underground (Borough High Street east side exit) every month apart from December for a regular dose of Sipping, Supping & Science.

image-third-wednesdays

Address:

The Old King’s Head (upstairs room)
King’s Head Yard
45-49 Borough High Street
London SE1 1NA